EVALUATION OF THE AQUACROP MODEL PERFORMANCE AND THE IMPACT OF FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGES ON POTATO PRODUCTION UNDER DIFFERENT SOIL MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36103/ijas.v54i1.1698Keywords:
RCP4.5 and RCP8.5; scenario; Aquacrop; polymers.Abstract
This study was aimed to investigate the effect of surface sprinkler and drip irrigation systems using a model AquaCrop, irrigation intervals, bio-organic fertilizers and polymers in desert soils. Two field experiments were conducted during the spring season 2020 at Karbala governorate. The experiment included three factors: 1-Irrigation system surface drip T1 and sprinkler T2, 2- The Irrigation interval: every 2 days I1, 4 days I2 and 6 days I3, 3- Addition of soil conditioners: control without any addition C, bio-organic fertilizers (seek) B, polymer (zeba) P, and polymer+ bio-organic fertilizers P+B. The experiment was designed according to the nested design with three replicates results of regional climate models and AquaCrop model. The results showed that there was an increase in the amount of annual precipitation and seasonal during the periods (2016-2035) and (2046-2065) under RCP4.5 scenario, compared to the base period (1985-2005). With an increase in the amount of annual precipitation and seasonal during the period at scenario RCP8.5 with a slight decrease during the period (2046-2065) compared to the base period. Moreover, an increase in the maximum and minimum temperatures according to scenario RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenario during the period (2016-2035) and (2046-2065) compared to the base period. The expected productivity using the AquaCrop, as R2 was 0.85 and 0.81 for twelve years, under surface drip irrigation systems and sprinkler, respectively. The correlation coefficient (r) was 0.95 and 0.90, the root means square error (RMSE) 2.43 and 2.19, and the efficiency coefficient 0.66 and 0.42 for the surface drip and sprinkler systems, respectively. Finally, the increase in water productivity and productivity in the scenario RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 for the treatment of BP and the irrigation interval I1and treatment C and the irrigation interval I3 when comparing the base period with the periods (2016-2035) and (2046-2065) For surface drip irrigation systems and sprinkler.
References
Agha, Omar M.A.Mahmood, and Nermin Şarlak. 2016. ‘Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Climate Variables in Iraq’. Arabian Journal of Geosciences 9(4).
Al-Mehmdy, Sh M.H., and M. M. Yacoub. 2019. ‘Some Methods for Calculating Losses of Fixed Sprinkler Irration under the Influence of Operation Pressure and Sprayers’ Arrangement’. Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Sciences 50(1): 487–94
Al-Shamari, M. F., B. A.A.H. Alkhateb, and S. A.W. Mahmoud. 2020. ‘Role of Compost and Irrigation Water Quantity on Some Physical Properties of Soil Under Surface, Subsurface Drip Irrigation’. Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Sciences 51(5): 1300–1307
Aldulaimy, S. E.H., SH M.H. Al-Mehmdy, and M. A.A. Aljanabi. 2018. ‘Evaluation of Used Exudative Irrigation Tubes and Drip Irrigation for Some Soil Water Parameters and Consumptive Use of Cucumber’. Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Sciences 49(5): 921–31
Andreas Phocaides. 2007. ‘CHAPTER 7: Water Quality for Irrigation’. Handbook of Pressurized Irrigation Techniques: 1–33
Araya, A. et al. 2017. ‘The Challenges and Opportunities for Wheat Production under Future Climate in Northern Ethiopia’. Journal of Agricultural Science
Bitri, M, S Grazhdani, and A Ahmeti. 2014. ‘Validation of the Aquacrop Model for Full and Decifit Irrigation Potato Production in Environmental Condtion of Korca Zone, South-Eastern Albania’. International Journal of Innovative Research in Science, Engineering and Technology 3(5): 12013–20
Boote, Kenneth J. et al. 2013. ‘Putting Mechanisms into Crop Production Models’. Plant, Cell and Environment 36(9): 1658–72
Donat, M. G. et al. 2014. ‘Changes in Extreme Temperature and Precipitation in the Arab Region: Long-Term Trends and Variability Related to ENSO and NAO’. International Journal of Climatology 34(3): 581–92
Dunne, John Patrick et al. 2012. ‘GFDL’s ESM2 Global Coupled Climate-Carbon Earth System Models. Part I: Physical Formulation and Baseline Simulation Characteristics’. Journal of Climate
Ehleringer, J R, and T E Cerling. 2002. ‘C3 and C4 Photosynthesis’. Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change.The earth system: biological and ecological dimensions of global environmental change
ESCWA, ACSAD and GIZ. 2017. ‘(United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia; Arab Center for the Studies of Arid Vones and Dry Lands; Deutsche Gesellschaft Für Internationale Zusammenarbeit). Integrated Vulnerability Assessment: Arab Regional Applications. RICCAR Tec’. United Nations economic and social commission for western Asia (ESCWA).
Esendal, E. 1990. ‘Starch Sugar Plants and Their Breeding’. Potato, OMÜ, Ziraat Fak. 1(49).
FAO. 2016. ‘Forests 1 and Agriculture: Land-Use Challenges and Opportunities. Rome, Italy, Http://Www.Fao.Org/3/a-I5588e.Pdf.’ State of the World’s Forests
Gebremedhin, Yibrah, Araya Berhe, and Amsalu Nebiyu. 2015. ‘Performance of AquaCrop Model in Simulating Tuber Yield of Potato ( Solanum Tuberosum L .) under Various Water Availability Conditions in Mekelle Area , Northern Ethiopia’. Journal of Natural Sciences Research 5(5): 123–31
Ghazouani, Hiba et al. 2019. ‘Using AquaCrop Model to Simulate Irrigation Water Use Efficiency of Potato Crop under Semi-Arid Conditions of Central Tunisia’. Brazilian Journal of Biological Sciences 6(12): 223–31
Hadgu, Gebre, Kindie Tesfaye, and Girma Mamo. 2015. ‘Analysis of Climate Change in Northern Ethiopia: Implications for Agricultural Production’. Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Hajim, A. Y. and Haqi, I. Y. 1992. ‘Field Irrigation Systems Engineering’. House of books for printing and publishing. University of Al Mosul. conductor. Iraq
Hazeleger, Wilco et al. 2010. ‘EC-Earth: A Seamless Earth-System Prediction Approach in Action’. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 91(10): 1357–63
Inventory of Shared Water Resources in Western Asia. 2013. Inventory of Shared Water Resources in Western Asia
IPCC. 2014. ‘Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability: Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (March): 1–44. http://www.citeulike.org/group/15400/article/13497155
Khattab, E. A., and E. A. El-Housini. 2019. ‘Evaluation of Some Lentil Varieties under Sprinkler and Dripping Irrigation Systems in Newly Reclaimed Sandy Soil’. Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Sciences 50(3): 753–58
Loague, Keith, and Richard E. Green. 1991. ‘Statistical and Graphical Methods for Evaluating Solute Transport Models: Overview and Application’. Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 7(1–2): 51–73
Matsuoka, Makoto, Robert T. Furbank, Hiroshi Fukayama, and Mitsue Miyao. 2001. ‘Molecular Engineering of C4 Photosynthesis’. Annual Review of Plant Biology 52: 297–314
Montoya, F. et al. 2016. ‘Evaluation of Aquacrop Model for a Potato Crop under Different Irrigation Conditions’. Agricultural Water Management 164: 267–80
Nash, J. E., and J. V. Sutcliffe. 1970. ‘River Flow Forecasting through Conceptual Models Part I - A Discussion of Principles’. Journal of Hydrology 10(3): 282–90
Patel, N., P. Kumar and Singh N. 2010. ‘Performance Evaluation of Aquacrop in Simulating Potato Yield under Varying Water Availability Conditions’. Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi –110012, India
Planning, Ministry of. 2018. ‘The Agricultural Sector Production Report (Water and Land, Plant and Animal Production) for the Year 2017. Planning Department/ Agricultural Planning Department.’
Raes, Dirk. 2017. AquaCrop training handbooks AquaCrop Training Handbooks - Book I: Understanding AquaCrop
Raes, Dirk, Pasquale Steduto, Theodore C. Hsiao, and Elias Fereres. 2009. ‘Aquacrop-The FAO Crop Model to Simulate Yield Response to Water: II. Main Algorithms and Software Description’. Agronomy Journal 101(3): 438–47
Rasheed, Z. K. 2020. ‘Analysis The Wetted Area for Subsurface Drip Irrigation in Different Soils Texture’. Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Sciences 51(2): 712–22
Schippers, P. A. 1976. ‘The Relationship between Specific Gravity and Percentage Dry Matter in Potato Tubers’. American Potato Journal 53(4): 111–22
Shahnazari, Ali et al. 2007. ‘Effects of Partial Root-Zone Drying on Yield, Tuber Size and Water Use Efficiency in Potato under Field Conditions’. Field Crops Research 100(1): 117–24
Smith, P., J. Nkem, K. Calvin, D. Campbell, F. Cherubini, G. Grassi, V. Korotkov, A.L. Hoang, S. Lwasa, P. McElwee, and M.A. Taboada E. Nkonya, N. Saigusa, J.-F. Soussana. 2007. ‘Interlinkages between Desertification, Land Degradation, Food Security and GHG Fluxes: Synergies, Trade-Offs and Integrated Response Options’. Climate Change and Land: an IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems (January): 1–11
Smith, B. 2006. ‘The Farming Handbook’. University of KwaZulu-Natal Press, Pietermaritzburg, RSA, Section 12.8.3 Potato Yield Estimation: 395–97
Soil Survey Staff. 2016. Web Soil Survey Natural Resources Conservation Service, United States Department of Agriculture. http://websoilsurvey.nrcs.usda.gov/app
Steduto, Pasquale, Theodore C. Hsiao, Dirk Raes, and Elias Fereres. 2009. ‘Aquacrop-the FAO Crop Model to Simulate Yield Response to Water: I. Concepts and Underlying Principles’. Agronomy Journal 101(3): 426–37
Stocker, Thomas F. et al. 2013. Climate Change 2013 the Physical Science Basis: Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change 2013 the Physical Science Basis: Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Testa, G., F. Gresta, and S. L. Cosentino. 2011. 34 European Journal of Agronomy Dry Matter and Qualitative Characteristics of Alfalfa as Affected by Harvest Times and Soil Water Content
Turral, H., J. Burke, J. M. Faures, and J M Faures. 2011. ‘Climate Change, Water and Food Security’. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Vinet, Luc, and Alexei Zhedanov. 2011. ‘A “missing” Family of Classical Orthogonal Polynomials’. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical 44(8).
Voldoire, A. et al. 2013. ‘The CNRM-CM5.1 Global Climate Model: Description and Basic Evaluation’. Climate Dynamics
‘Www.Seekfertilizer.Com.’
Zhang, Xiying et al. 2005. ‘Improved Water Use Efficiency Associated with Cultivars and Agronomic Management in the North China Plain’. Agronomy Journal 97(3): 783–90.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
How to Cite
2.jpg)
2.jpg)
